| <p><u>Oindree:</u></p>
<p><u>Concept used in Brian Dailey and Sam Stafford's analysis:</u></p>
<p>S_up = Maximum signal that can fluctuate down to expected background with 10% probability</p>
<p>So, we can say with 90% confidence that S_up is the largest the signal can be </p>
<p>This is used to set a limit on, for example, the Kotera model for predicted neutrino flux </p>
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